We enjoyed another day of mild and quiet weather across the area compliments of a “cut-off storm” swirling east of the area. The storm will continue to influence our weather for one more day with stormier weather set to return on Friday.
For tonight, we’ll find partly starry skies. Skies will again be clearest over Southwest Missouri and Northwest Arkansas where overnight lows will be coolest.
Thursday will feature more clouds than sun with temperatures continuing to edge a bit higher. It will be a pleasant afternoon with highs in the low to mid 70s. A warm front will be approaching from the south by late afternoon and this may lead to a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over Northwest Arkansas.
Active weather returns on Friday. A warm front moving into the area will provide the focus with an upper-level storm helping to trigger storms. There will be a chance for some shower and thunderstorm activity during the morning. Storm chances look higher later in the afternoon or overnight though. Storms look like they will bubble up west of the area, organizing into a complex of storms that will surge east along the warm front. Severe weather looks possible with the overall set up favoring strong winds and some hail. There may also be a low risk of tornadoes.
Storms by Saturday morning may focus the attention for wet weather to our south. Saturday looks like a drier day with partly sunny skies developing along with highs in the low 80s. A low chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue through the day.
Sunday looks warm and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms bubbling up during the afternoon.
A cold front will edge into the area on Monday. This coupled with a soupy atmosphere and some upper-level energy over Texas back into New Mexico will lead to widespread clouds and scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures look a little cooler too, but it will remain humid.
At least a chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue into Wednesday with temperatures getting a little warmer.
Stronger storms will be possible Sunday through Tuesday, but the overall risk doesn’t look high or widespread with atmospheric winds on the weak side.
Rain amounts through next Wednesday will be a general 1 to 3″ with locally higher totals possible.