It was a grumbly start to the day with pockets of heavy rain and thunder this morning. Many areas near I-44, east of Springfield, picked up 2 to 4″ of rain from the morning storms. The storms also produced a lot of lightning with several areas in Wright County reporting damage. This round of rain has since faded, but another one is expected Thursday morning.
For this evening, we’ll find quiet weather. Skies will remain mostly cloudy and a few light showers are still possible to the south. Weather ingredients will come together after midnight to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms over Eastern Kansas into West Central Missouri. This area of rain and thunder will slide southeast during the morning producing areas of heavy rain and frequent lightning. The rain appears most likely and heavy along and west of Hwy. 65, and a Flash Flood Watch has been posted for Southwest Missouri through 4 pm Thursday. Locally heavy rainfall totals of 2 to 4″ are possible. Showers and thunderstorms will taper off Thursday afternoon with a little sun possible by late afternoon. Temperatures will take a hit again with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
The front that will help with Thursday’s rain will shift further north by Friday morning. Another wave of showers and thunderstorms will develop near the front but will be focused over Northern and Central Missouri. Areas further south will see drier and warmer conditions with highs in the upper 80s.
A building ridge across the Eastern U.S. will continue to nudge the front to the north. This will also move most of the rain out of the Ozarks. Saturday into next week will offer up partly cloudy days and warm and humid conditions. A low chance for rain will be present each day, but most locations will remain dry.
There will be some potential for a disturbance to move out of the Gulf around the ridge into Ozarks early next week. If this pans out, it would likely help boost rain chances and cloud cover.