Temperatures continued to climb today with afternoon readings in the low to mid 80s. The hotter pattern will continue through the weekend and it will come with higher humidity and some rain as well.
For tonight, it doesn’t look as cool as previous nights. Skies will be mostly clear with morning lows in the mid 60s.
Wednesday will warm up quickly with mostly sunny skies in the morning giving way to partly cloudy skies during the afternoon. An upper-level storm passing by to the south will trigger a few spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms, especially east of Hwy. 65. Scattered storms will also develop by late afternoon along a front across Central Missouri. With the high levels of instability a few strong to severe storms are possible with strong winds and some hail.
The scenario for Wednesday into Thursday looks a little murky. One scenario is for storms to continue building south and southwest into the higher instability across Southwest Missouri. This would mean a wave of storms spreading across much of the area overnight Wednesday night. Another possibility is for storms over Central Missouri to not get overly organized. Another area of storms could then sweep in from the northwest by Thursday morning. Either way, it looks like much of the area will see some rain Wednesday night into Thursday. The severe risk doesn’t look overly high, but with any organized lines of storms, strong winds will be a possibility along with a risk of some hail.
How the rain plays out Wednesday night into Thursday morning will likely have bearing on Thursday’s weather. Lingering cloud cover may limit temperatures from warming up as much as they could. That said, temperatures should still manage to climb into the 80s. Lingering boundaries could also initiate some afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity but it’s not expected to be widespread.
The pattern will support at least a chance for scattered storms into Friday. Temperatures will probably be a bit hotter topping out in the mid to upper 80s.
The upper-level pattern will then shift from a flat jet stream pattern to more of a ridge over the region. This will lead to hotter and drier weather. A few isolated thunderstorms look possible, mainly on Saturday. Sunday looks hot and mostly sunny. We’ll have a shot at hitting 90° for the first time this year over the weekend too.
We’ll then have to turn our attention toward the Gulf. Tropical Storm Cristobal is expected to make a move toward the Louisiana Coast over the weekend. The pattern over the U.S. would then funnel the remnants of the storm through the region. It’s unclear right now what the exact track will be in our area, but skies should trend cloudier Monday with a risk of showers to the south. Tuesday looks mainly cloudy with the risk of heavy rain. Isolated severe weather would be possible too if the center of the storm takes a more westerly track through the region.
A cold front is then expected to sweep through on Wednesday bringing drier weather to the area for the remainder of next week.