The heat wave is nearly over after another 90° day today. Rain chances are on the way up, and this will help beat back the heat.
Wednesday looks like a wetter day as a cold front approaches from the west and some upper-level storminess arrives with it. Temperatures will be warm again with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Showers and thunderstorms should develop by afternoon, becoming more widespread by late afternoon, especially over Western Missouri. Showers and thunderstorms will continue into the overnight hours as a broken line of storms gradually shifts east across the Ozarks. The overall severe risk looks pretty low, but isolated severe storms are likely with some wind and hail.
A strong upper-level storm will move into Missouri by Thursday. This will lead to widespread cloudiness and cooler temperatures. A cold front will push east across the Ozarks as well. The nearby storm will bring stronger wind energy to the Ozarks, and this will help organize storms that develop during the afternoon leading a risk of severe storms. The risk right now looks focused mainly east of Hwy. 65. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
The storm will be exiting to the east on Friday, but clouds will linger along with a chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly east and northeast of Springfield. Highs will again be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
A front will wobble north back into the area by Saturday bringing episodes of showers and thunderstorms to the Ozarks through the weekend. Higher levels of wind energy will lead to a risk for a few severe storms as well. Temperatures look a little warmer, but it will depend on cloud cover and rain coverage both days.
By Monday the front will try to shift north through the Ozarks. There will still be a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially north and east of Springfield. Temperatures will continue to edge higher.
The front will be north of the area Tuesday with another storm to the west. We should see a lull in rain chances with only isolated storms expected along with highs back up around 90°.
Rainfall through the weekend will generally total up to 1 to 3" across most of the Ozarks with locally higher amounts possible.