We’re switching gears with heat and dry weather to give way to some rain and cooler temperatures.
Tonight, we’ll enjoy another warm, breezy and quiet evening. Showers and thunderstorms will line up along a front from Southeast Kansas into Northern Missouri. This area of showers and thunderstorms will slowly shift south overnight. There’s a chance for a few stronger storms closer to Central Missouri by late this evening that could produce some strong winds.
By sunrise Wednesday a broken line of showers and thunderstorms will be present along I-44 close to a weak cold front pressing south. The front will continue to be a focus for showers and thunderstorms as it slowly presses south to about the state line by the end of the day. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day, focused across areas near and south of I-44. A few of the storms may become severe with a wind and hail risk, and locally heavy rain is also possible. Temperatures will be quite a bit cooler than the last few days with highs in the upper 70s north to mid-80s south.
The front will begin moving back to the north by Thursday. A weak upper-level storm and low-level jet should be enough to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday night into Thursday. Rain chances look highest over Southwest Missouri into Northern Arkansas. Afternoon highs will remain in the low to mid-80s.
By Friday it looks like the front will push north of most of the area. Rain chances look lower with afternoon highs in the upper 80s. Weekend weather looks warm and humid. A few showers and thunderstorms look possible Saturday afternoon, especially closer to Central Missouri. An upper-level ridge will begin to strengthen over the Eastern U.S., shifting the best chance for storms north of the Ozarks by Sunday. This pattern will hold through Tuesday of next week. We’ll have partly cloudy days with highs in the upper 80s and mostly clear nights with lows in the low 70s. An isolated shower or thunderstorm will be possible each day, but most areas will remain dry.