You shouldn’t have to dodge much in the way of rain early this evening, but it will turn wet by 9 pm with a steady rain setting in across Southern Missouri and Northern Arkansas by then. The rain will continue through sunrise with pockets of heavier rain likely south of the interstate.
This is where rainfall totals will be heaviest with amounts topping 1″. The rain will be lighter to the north, but will still make for a wet start to the day Thursday.
The rain will taper off quickly from west to east during the morning with just a slight chance for additional light showers later in the day. There will also be an opening for some breaks in the clouds and peeks of sunshine over Southwest Missouri and Northwest Arkansas. This is where temperatures will be warmest with highs in the 60s. Further east and north, east to southeast winds will keep cool, damp air locked in with highs only in the low to mid-50s.
Widespread rain will move northward, making it to the I-44 area overnight. This will be a soaker for much of the Ozarks.
Rain will come to an end by early afternoon on Thursday. I do think a few areas will see up to 3″ of rain for areas just south of Springfield.
After another night with areas of fog, we’ll end the week with some sunshine Friday. We’ll work in another round of widespread rain late Friday night into Saturday morning, but the rest of the weekend looks dry and sunnier weather is in store Sunday.
Looking ahead, the pattern will shift in a major way. A storm on Tuesday will bring wind and warmth along with a chance for thunderstorms. The storm will lead the way to a colder pattern as we head toward Christmas.