War and breezy again today, monitoring a severe threat Wednesday night —
Steady south winds remain sustained 10-20 mph today with gusts up to 30 mph at times. Coupled with sunshine and increasing dew points in the 50’s, this will make for another warm, beautiful day! Highs pop into the middle/ upper 70’s area-wide, some flirt with 80 degrees!
We’ll stay very warm tonight with increasing clouds and steady southerly winds. Lows only drop to about 60 degrees.
Tomorrow we’ll keep mostly cloudy skies and steady southerly winds ahead of our next strong cold front. The afternoon will remain dry, warm, and sticky. Dew points increase into the lower 60’s having it feel a bit muggy, and highs will soar towards 80 degrees again — all despite some cloud cover.
Our strong front will fire up showers/ storms by the late evening and overnight hours. With increasing humidity, instability (fuel for storms), and wind energy, there will be a threat of severe weather with these storms.
SLIGHT RISK is posted for the entire area. Our primary threat will be large hail and damaging winds, especially if storms can organize into a bending line segment as they move through. With the ingredients we have in play, an isolated tornado threat needs to be monitored. I think we will be dealing with a scenario where while the threat is low, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Soaking rains and heavy downpours are also likely with 0.5-1.5″ of rain possible, especially in stronger storms. This could lead to a localized flood threat.
Storms push east by Thursday morning but a few lingering showers wrap-around the low. With steady north and west winds, highs on Thursday will be much cooler in the 50’s with lingering clouds.
Sunshine returns Friday, but with a cool air mass in place highs will be around 60 degrees.
Southerly flow and sunshine warms us back into the 70’s by the weekend, a beautiful, warm Easter in store!
Next system rolls through early next week.