The severe weather risk is winding down now that we’re past sunset and temperatures are cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible well past midnight tonight as storms continue to take advantage of lingering instability as a cold front drops south. The risk for severe weather is quickly diminishing, but a few storms with hail are still possible along with gusty winds.

The cold front will push south through the area tonight but will stall just to the southwest by Tuesday. This will cause storm chances to get squeezed to the west and southwest as drier air filters in from the east. The risk for spotty afternoon and evening storms will remain over Southwest Missouri and Northwest Arkansas Tuesday and Wednesday with drier weather further north and east.

Widespread thunderstorm activity isn’t likely, but with the nearby front, it’s possible a more organized wave of storms could drop in from the northwest out of Eastern Kansas late in the day Wednesday. This could bring a more widespread round of strong winds and some hail. Otherwise, any severe weather the next couple of days will be isolated in nature and mainly hail.

Daily rain chances will continue through the weekend with some days looking wetter than others. Wednesday night into Thursday morning may offer up the best chance for rain in the area as a storm moves in from the south. Spotty storms are possible Friday and Saturday with a more widespread risk of showers and thunderstorms Sunday as a cold front moves in from the north.

That very same cold front looks like the beginning of a shift in the pattern that will bring milder temperatures and drier weather back to the area next week.

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