Storms have developed this evening across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. A corridor of high instability will help fuel storms as they continue to track east-northeast through the overnight hours. The threat area for severe weather still appears to be along and south of a Eureka Springs, AR, to Eminence, MO, line or generally along and south of a cold front that is draped across Northwest Arkansas and South Central Missouri. Damaging winds and hail are possible with damaging winds especially likely with a developing line of severe storms over Northwest Arkansas. A brief tornado or two is also possible. The line of severe storms will exit east of the area by around 3am to 4am.
Further north we’ll still find rain and embedded thunderstorms, but the severe risk looks very low.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue through much of Tuesday ending from the west by late afternoon. Temperatures won’t recover much Tuesday with cooler air wrapping in behind the storm. Temperatures will fall from near 60° back through the 50s before holding steady through the afternoon.
Skies will clear out Tuesday evening with chilly morning temperatures Wednesday. Sunshine will push temperatures back into the upper 60s by the end of the day. Some high cloudiness will start spilling in during the afternoon as well.
A weak front and a passing pocket of upper-level energy will generate partly cloudy skies and a few showers Thursday. Temperatures will remain mild.
The pattern will stay pretty quiet through Friday with some additional shower activity as a warm front takes shape to the southwest.
The pattern will flip into a stormier mode over the weekend with a tendency to remain in this mode well into the future. There will likely be a few waves of stormy weather over the weekend into early next week with heavy rainfall and some severe weather possible.