The area remained in summer mode with temperatures climbing into the 80s to near 90°. Vichy, MO, hit 91°, a new record for the day! The heat and humidity is unusually high for this time of the year and will play into a daily risk of showers and thunderstorms.

Looking at the setup this evening, we’ve got a cold front located north of I-70. A complex of storms is already setting up across Southeast Nebraska and Southwest Iowa. This area of storms will sweep southeast overnight bringing a risk of wind and some hail. The storms will likely create a well-defined outflow boundary that will drop south across Central Missouri overnight with gusty winds. The boundary could bring a risk of showers as far south as Hwy. 60 near sunrise.

Later in the day, additional storms will fire up near a cold front from near Stockton Lake east across Lake of the Ozarks. Initial storms should be widely scattered and given the instability will quickly intensify. Large hail is possible with these storms along with locally strong winds. Atmospheric winds will be a bit stronger north and east of Lake of the Ozarks. This will be an area where a limited tornado threat will be highest.

The storms will gradually build south into the evening hours. Some hail and strong wind gusts will remain possible.

Scattered chances for rain continue nearly every day this coming week. The one day that stands out as having a lower chance for rain is Tuesday as drier air works in behind Monday’s cold front. Shower and thunderstorm chances will likely remain confined to Western Missouri and Northwest Arkansas again Wednesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will spread back across the remainder of the area Wednesday night into Thursday as a storm sweeps north out of Texas and across the Ozarks.

The Gulf will remain wide open into the weekend keeping the Ozarks blanketed in humidity and warmth. This will keep temperatures above normal with a chance for showers and thunderstorms.