Happy Monday, friends! Today is the calm before the winter storm. If you have errands that need to be done, or you are low on supplies, you’ve got through early Tuesday afternoon before the storm arrives.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for areas near and south of the interstate with a Winter Weather Advisory posted for areas to the north where amounts will be lighter.

Clouds will thicken up Tuesday morning with temperatures climbing into the low to mid-40s. Rain will begin spreading in from the southwest during the afternoon. Once the rain begins, temperatures will fall back into the 30s. A transition to wet snow will then occur as readings fall through the mid-30s. This will happen sometime around or shortly after sunset in the Springfield area.

A wet snowfall will continue throughout the night, coming down heavily at times. This will lead to reduced visibilities. Roads will gradually become snow-covered sometime around mid-evening as temperatures drop to around freezing and snowfall rates pick up.

The snow will continue throughout the night, wrapping up Wednesday morning. Snow showers and flurries will tend to linger near and north of I-44 throughout the morning.

This kind of snow will be sticky and tend to coat all surfaces.

There will be a fairly distinct cut-off from high snow totals to our south and just a few inches to the north. Models continue to trend with higher amounts as we get closer to the storm. I’m thinking 4 or 5″ for Springfield. Amounts look higher to the south of the interstate where 4 to 7″ is expected, particularly in the higher elevation areas of Northwest Arkansas, where locally 9″ is possible.

Snow-covered roads will slowly improve later in the day Wednesday thanks to daylight and temperatures warming a few degrees above freezing. Temperatures will remain cold through Thursday with mainly cloudy skies. This will tend to keep the snow on the ground into at least Friday with roads gradually improving over that timeframe. We should be able to melt away most of the snow Friday into Saturday ahead of a blast of cold weather that will arrive Sunday.

Cold weather and additional bouts of wintry weather are on the table as we move out of January and into February.