**10:30 pm UPDATE**
The severe weather threat has finally fully pushed out the Ozarks. Clouds will start to clear out and nighttime temperatures will begin to cool into the mid to upper 60s. Tomorrow will be a nice change of pace as a pleasant and quiet weather day is expected.
It is important to note there is a high probability of fog developing over the region early tomorrow morning. High amounts of surface-level moisture and tonight’s clear skies will result in blankets of fog covering the Ozarks. So be aware of low visibility conditions occurring across parts of Southern Missouri.
**9:45 pm UPDATE**
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS PUSH INTO ARKANSAS: The line of storms has sagged below the Missouri State line and into Arkansas. The threat of tornadoes has diminished as the main concern for Northern Arkansas is both hail and damaging winds. The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Jackson, Laurence, and Randolph AR. Radar indicates wind gusts moving up to 70 mph and roughly half-dollar hail size.
**8:30 pm UPDATE**
Storms damage reports continue to be flooding in for Ozark County as powerful wind gusts exceeding 70mph and 0.5″-0.75″ inch size hail have caused havoc. Shingles were blown off, large tree limbs were broken, and roads were flooded with 3-4 inches of water.
Roughly half of the citizens in Ozark County are without power. Furthermore, the troubles with electricity are starting to grow across the state line in Arkansas.
**7:45 pm UPDATE**
REPORTED DAMAGE IN OZARK & MARION COUNTY: Ozark County Sheriff’s Dispatch is starting to receive reports of power lines down on HWY W, as well as, the Arkansas state line on HWY 5. Additionally, reports of uprooted trees have been seen for Theodosia.
South of the state line is seeing the impact of the severe weather. Currently, 795 customers are without power in Bull Shoals.
**7:25 pm UPDATE**
STRONG WINDS MOVING INTO THEODOSIA: Severe thunderstorm sweeping into Ozark County is showing a stronger signature for strong winds. There’s a surge in that short line west of Gainesville moving into Theodosia now. Strong winds are occurring or are imminent. The Springfield NWS Office just mentioned the possibility of winds up to 70 mph.
**6:30 pm UPDATE**
We are noticing some weak rotation in a cell located north of Branson. The National Weather Service has issued a tornado possible tag over the area until 6:45 pm.
Here’s a live look over the area brought to you by the Retro Mania tower camera
**6:10 pm UPDATE**
Storms are still sub-severe. I’m keeping an eye on a storm near Neosho that shows signs of intensification. There also appears to be some weak rotation with it. That storm will likely track a little south of east in the general direction of Cassville.
**3:45 pm UPDATE**
WATCH SOON: The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) recently sent out a discussion alerting the potential for a watch. Clouds have thinned enough and instability has increased enough, especially southwest of Springfield, for severe thunderstorms to develop soon. This would likely be a Tornado Watch that would cover areas near and south of the interstate into Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
**3:00 pm UPDATE**
Showers are beginning to develop west of Joplin and may be the beginning of things to come. The showers are developing near a frontal boundary and in an area of increasing instability where temperatures have warmed into the low 80s. Will be watching trends closely. This matches fairly well the latest HRRR model guidance. This activity will be moving a little south of the east.
**2:05 pm UPDATE**
The National Weather Service has issued a FLOOD WATCH through the evening hours. Most of the area has already seen heavy, soaking rain and the forecast for the afternoon/evening could bring another 2-4″. Excess runoff could cause lakes, rivers and other low-lying streams to rise.
**1:50 pm UPDATE**
The rain is coming to an end over SW MO and NW AR. The clouds are trying to thin out enough the sun can break through, but some areas are having a harder time than others. Temperatures are staying low, which will help in terms of making it difficult for severe weather to form. The clear in northern Arkansas makes that location an area of concern as we head into the afternoon hours.
Chief Meteorologist Jamie Warriner says it best, “Now, we wait and see how much the atmosphere tries to reload.”
**10:45 am UPDATE**
Round #1 rainfall is continuing to push east and out of the area. We should begin to see a lull in the action for a few hours. We have already seen impressive rainfall totals, with parts of western Greene County picking up 5″, and we expect more to come.
**9:45 am UPDATE**
The National Weather Service has issued a FLASH FLOOD WARNING for eastern Dade, western Greene, southeastern Jasper, and Lawrence counties in Missouri. The warning will go on until 12:30pm. Estimates show between 2-3 inches of rain have fallen across this area. Additional amounts of rain up to an inch could be possible.
**8:55 am UPDATE**
The National Weather Service has released a SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT for Polk, Dade, Greene, and Lawrence counties in Missouri. Strong thunderstorms will impact those counties through 9:15 am. Winds up to 45 mph and small hail are associated with these storms.
**8:45 am UPDATE**
The Storm Prediction Center has the entire area under a risk for severe weather. The SPC has extended the ENHANCED area for all of our counties south of I-44. This is a level 3 out of 5 risk.
With the heightened threat, the SPC has also increased the chance of tornadoes in the area. We are now placed under a 10% chance of tornadoes along the Missouri/Arkansas state line.
**8:30 am UPDATE**
The Ozarks First weather team will be tracking two rounds of storms this Wednesday. The first round is moving through the Ozarks and everything has stayed below severe limits. We are seeing pockets of heavy rain and lightning pushing east of Springfield. Our far eastern counties are seeing the heaviest rainfall as of 8:00 am.
Lightning has been intense with a few of these storms. Right now, the most lightning is in the West Plains area stretching south to Melbourne, Arkansas.
Stay weather-aware today. Round #2 of strong storms will pack more of a punch this afternoon.