Scattered showers/ storms today with an isolated severe threat —
A cold front is sitting up to the northwest this morning. Ahead of the front in Springfield, we have a very muggy air mass, warm middle 70’s, and a south wind. Behind the front lies a much drier, cooler air mass.
A few showers/ storms are firing along/ just ahead of the front this morning. Those shower/s storms arrive into the Ozarks this morning. By the afternoon the front slowly sags into northern Arkansas, keeping the chance for scattered showers/ storms especially healthy along/ south of I-44.
Instability, or fuel for storms, is decent enough where we have a Marginal Risk for severe weather today along/ south of I-44. The threat of a strong/ severe storms is low/ isolated. Any storms that do become severe would have the threat of damaging 60 mph winds, large quarter size hail, and locally heavy rain.
These storms dissipate and exit by 7 PM this evening, with a lull in storms likely for a few hours.
Highs today will be much cooler than yesterday thanks to the clouds and rain, highs only in the low to middle 80’s at their warmest.
Tonight we’ll keep mostly cloudy skies early, with a chance for a few storms after midnight. Lows drop into the upper 60’s.
Tomorrow our front stalls and pops back into the Ozarks from the south. That will reignite the chance for scattered showers/ storms, especially to the south and west. Highs will continue to be on the cool side in the middle 80’s.
By Friday the pattern turns drier, but still unsettled. An isolated storm can’t be ruled out Friday, south winds send highs back into the upper 80’s.
A weak disturbance rolls through on Saturday with the chance for a few storms, highs in the upper 80’s.
By Sunday high pressure builds to the east and noses into the Ozarks. It’s close enough to keep us mostly dry, but with us being on the outer fringes of the dry air mass with southerly flow, isolated storms can’t be ruled out Sunday and Monday. Highs stay seasonal through the Labor Day holiday weekend.