Another strong front brings a severe threat tonight and tomorrow —
Southerly flow and a warm and muggy air mass is in place this morning.
We’ll be quiet all afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds and breezy south winds. Southerly winds could gust to 30 mph at times, that will usher in a warm air mass pushing highs back into the middle 80’s. With dew points in the middle and upper 60’s it will feel humid!
A strong cold front sets up to our west tonight. Showers/ storms fire up in parts of Kansas by the evening hours, not really getting into the Ozarks until after 9 or 10 PM. These storms will have enough fuel from the warm, humid air mass and wind energy from the jet stream (fastest winds in the upper-levels of the atmosphere) to fuel a severe threat.
Large hail to golf ball size or larger, 70 mph winds, flash flooding, and an isolated tornado will all be possible overnight tonight. If these storms organize into a line, the damaging wind threat would be the greatest. Please stay weather aware!
Lows stay warm and muggy near 70 degrees.
We wake up to a few strong storms tomorrow morning. We’ll likely have a little lull in storm coverage early in the afternoon before another wave rides the front, bringing more storms to the Ozarks.
Storm chances will be healthiest south/ east of I-44 on Wednesday, where enough fuel from the warm, humid air mass can stay alive. With that will also come another severe risk. The tornado risk is still there but looks slightly lower than Tuesday night — still stay weather aware! The more primary risks will be large hail to golf ball size or larger and damaging winds to 70 mph.
Flash flooding is also a big concern. With this second round, heavy rain is likely to develop, dropping another 1-4″ of rain on already flooded soils. Turn around, don’t drown!
A few storms linger Wednesday night into Thursday morning. By Thursday afternoon high pressure takes over with sunshine and cooler, more seasonal highs in the upper 70’s.
Seasonal sunshine hangs around on Friday. Outside of isolated storm chances, the weekend looks relatively warm and quiet!