A perfect summer pattern remains in place across the Ozarks. A steady feed of comfortable air will keep the pattern quiet and mild through Wednesday. The pattern will turn stormier Thursday with a chance for rain each day through the weekend.
For tonight, we’ll find mostly clear skies and comfortable temperatures. Morning lows will range from the upper 50s northeast to low 60s southwest.
Wednesday looks like another August beauty as skies become partly cloudy and temperatures warm into the low to mid 80s.
A series of upper-level storms will begin sweeping across the area Thursday. This combined with increasing moisture will lead to cloudier skies and a chance for at least scattered showers and thunderstorms by Thursday morning. Much of the shower activity will be on the way out Thursday afternoon as the first storm exits the Ozarks.
More upper-level storms will follow Friday into Sunday. The storms will interact with a stalled front to generate episodes of showers and thunderstorms through the period. Some of the rain could be heavy. It’s tough to pinpoint which days will be wettest because each round of rain will impact where the surface front is focused. Temperatures will also be very tricky with the difference between sunshine and rain leading to a big range in afternoon highs from the 70s to the 80s.
The surface front should shift south of the area by Monday. This will open the door to drier and sunnier weather Monday and Tuesday. It also looks like a pleasant period with morning lows in the 60s and afternoon highs in the low 80s.