Severe weather expected today and tomorrow —
An incredibly strong, potent upper-level low-pressure center is sitting over the western U.S. This will swing an impressively strong jet stream around its front side, fueling severe weather chances.
Today the heart of the storm will spawn a tornado outbreak in Texas and Oklahoma. There, a High Risk of severe weather is posted, a rare 5 out of 5 on the outlook scale.
Locally, showers and storms will fire to the west this afternoon and approach the Ozarks by 4 PM. We have a Slight Risk of severe weather along/ west HWY 65 with an Enhanced Risk tucked to the extreme SW portions of the viewing area.
We expect a line of showers/ storms to roll through after 4 PM today. These storms will carry a severe threat of golf ball size hail, damaging winds to 70 mph or greater, isolated tornadoes, and flash flooding.
The tornado threat will be healthiest for the extreme southwest portion of the area currently in the Enhanced Risk. There, wind energy comes together better to fuel a few spin-ups. Stay weather aware!
FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect through 7 PM Tuesday for 1-3″+ rain totals coming down quick between today’s storms and tomorrow’s. This area is already saturated, flash flooding is most likely near rivers and creeks that are already swollen.
Highs today get into the 70’s.
Storms continue overnight with the severe threat diminishing to the east. Lows stay warm in the 60’s.
Tomorrow, our strong, potent low-pressure center will swing the final cold front through the area. A squall line sets up by noon to the west, with a line of showers/ storms pushing through during the afternoon/ early evening.
An Enhanced Risk is posted for much of the area, again ALL modes of severe weather will be possible — golf ball size hail, 70 mph damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and flash flooding. Please stay weather aware!
Highs on Tuesday get into the 70’s.
The entire storm system lifts northeast on Wednesday bringing sunshine and warm south winds into the Ozarks. Highs get into the 80’s.
By Thursday a high pressure sets up to our southeast, pulling a ring of storm chances north through the path of the jet stream. It looks like this storm path stays in central MO or areas further north, but we could flirt with a storm or two Thursday through Sunday depending on the strength and placement of the high pressure.
Regardless, no day will be a washout with only isolated storms possible. We’ll have some sunshine and a summery feel, warm and muggy 80’s linger through the weekend.